2026-07-30 | 10:30 PM
2.43 SCORE PREDICTION: 1 : 0 1.11
1
PREDICTION ENGINE ANALYSIS
MODEL PREDICTION
1
51.0%
HOME WIN
X
24.0%
DRAW
2
25.0%
AWAY WIN
SIGNAL BREAKDOWN
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Unlock Engine BreakdownINJURED AND SUSPENDED
| Player | Reason | Until |
|---|---|---|
 A. Santana (M) | Thigh Injury | - |
 F. Angileri (D) | Yellow Cards | - |
 M. Bidu (D) | Hamstring Injury | - |
 Y. Alberto (F) | Injury | - |
 M. Depay (F) | Rest | - |
 Kayke | Knee Injury | - |
 Vitinho | Hip Injury | - |
TABLE STANDINGS
Serie A| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 | 2.57 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | +19 | 39 | 2.75 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 36 | 2.35 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 34 | 2.62 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 32 | 2.57 |
| 6 |  RB Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 31 | 2.30 |
| 7 |  Botafogo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 32 | +2 | 29 | 3.30 |
| 8 |  Atletico-MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 28 | 2.50 |
| 9 |  Corinthians | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 28 | 2.10 |
| 10 |  Coritiba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 27 | 2.60 |
| 11 |  Cruzeiro | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 | 2.80 |
| 12 |  Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 26 | 2.40 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 | 2.52 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 | 2.50 |
| 15 |  Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 22 | 3.10 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 | 2.38 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | 2.40 |
| 18 |  Vasco DA Gama | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 | 2.70 |
| 19 |  Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 21 | 2.76 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 | 3.00 |
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation
Top Scorers
Serie A1
K. Viveros (FW) Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense12 Goals (2 PEN)
Top Assists
Serie A1
R. Garro (FW) Corinthians
Corinthians6 Assists (2 Goals)
2
G. Benavídez (DF) Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense5 Assists
3
L. Esquivel (DF) Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense4 Assists (1 Goals)
Head to Head
CORINTHIANS15 Wins 50% 30 MATCHES
15W11Draws 37% 4W
40GOALS
⚽23GOALS
ATLETICO PARANAENSE4 Wins 13% 57%Over 1.5
17 / 30 Matches
27%Over 2.5
8 / 30 Matches
17%Over 3.5
5 / 30 Matches
43%BTTS
13 / 30 Matches
43%Clean Sheets
CORINTHIANS
23%Clean Sheets
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
PAST MEETINGS
MATCH INTRO
This is not a fixture for the faint-hearted punter. Corinthians carry the slight edge that comes with playing on familiar ground, and their recent DLWDD form at home edges them ahead in our model's assessment. But Atletico Paranaense are not here to make up the numbers — they have shown quality on their travels this season and will not be easy to break down. After weighing every variable, our engine leans toward Corinthians but does so carefully, registering a win probability of just 51%. Margins will be thin.
30/07/2026
LAST 6 MATCHES
CORINTHIANSLAST 6 MATCHESATLETICO PARANAENSELAST 6 MATCHESTEAM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON
Corinthians 
Brazil - Serie A League Pos. 9 / 20
Brazil - Serie A League Pos. 9 / 20| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L W D D | 1.56 |
| Home | W D W D | 2.00 |
| Away | W D D L D | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33.33% | 50.00% | 20.00% |
| AVG | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.22 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.78 | 0.25 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 55.56% | 25.00% | 80.00% |
| CS | 44.44% | 75.00% | 20.00% |
| FTS | 11.11% | 25.00% | 0.00% |
Atletico Paranaense Brazil - Serie A League Pos. 3 / 20
Brazil - Serie A League Pos. 3 / 20| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W D | 1.76 |
| Home | W D D W W | 2.36 |
| Away | L L W W D | 1.10 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52.38% | 72.73% | 30.00% |
| AVG | 2.24 | 2.27 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.73 | 0.90 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.55 | 1.30 |
| BTTS | 47.62% | 45.45% | 50.00% |
| CS | 33.33% | 45.45% | 20.00% |
| FTS | 28.57% | 18.18% | 40.00% |
FORM EDGE ANALYSIS — WHO WILL WIN?
Form - HomeForm - Away
2.00
WDWD
1.10
LLWWD
FIRST HALF GOAL PROBABILITY
0%HT O0.5
CorinthiansAtletico ParanaenseSECOND HALF GOAL PROBABILITY
0%SH O0.5
CorinthiansAtletico ParanaenseOVER / UNDER GOAL PROBABILITY
MODEL PREDICTION (LINE 2.5)
O
40.65%
OVER 2.5
U
59.35%
UNDER 2.5
⚽
2.9
Exp. Goals
SIGNAL BREAKDOWN (LINE 2.5)
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Unlock O/U Breakdown0%OVER 2.5
CorinthiansOver0%
Under0%
Atletico ParanaenseOver0%
Under0%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE — BTTS TRACKER
—CHANCE
CorinthiansAtletico ParanaenseRecent Match Resultsoldest → newest
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
GG — Both scoredNG — One or both didn't score
TRENDS
Corinthians TRENDSLoading...
Atletico Paranaense TRENDSLoading...
⚡ MATCH TEMPO RADAR
CorinthiansAtletico ParanaenseCorinthians
Atletico Paranaense
CORNER KICK POISSON MATRIX
Exact corner score map
Each cell shows one possible corner score. Darker green cells are the most likely exact outcomes. Use this together with the model pick to judge the best corner target line.
Reliable corner data League and team corner history available.
Model pickUNDER 9.5
Expected total9.24
Corinthians xC5.19
Atletico Paranaense xC4.05
PossibleLikelyMost likely
| Home → Away ↓ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 1 | - | - | 0.867% | 1.229% | 1.397% | 1.353% | 1.157% | 0.897% | 0.642% | - | - |
| 2 | - | 0.723% | 1.432% | 2.03% | 2.308% | 2.234% | 1.912% | 1.482% | 1.06% | 0.708% | - |
| 3 | - | 0.855% | 1.693% | 2.401% | 2.73% | 2.643% | 2.261% | 1.753% | 1.254% | 0.838% | - |
| 4 | - | 0.811% | 1.606% | 2.277% | 2.588% | 2.506% | 2.144% | 1.663% | 1.189% | 0.795% | - |
| 5 | - | 0.655% | 1.297% | 1.839% | 2.09% | 2.024% | 1.732% | 1.343% | 0.96% | 0.642% | - |
| 6 | - | - | 0.925% | 1.312% | 1.492% | 1.444% | 1.236% | 0.958% | 0.685% | - | - |
| 7 | - | - | 0.599% | 0.849% | 0.965% | 0.934% | 0.799% | 0.62% | - | - | - |
| 8 | - | - | - | 0.506% | 0.576% | 0.557% | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
UNDER 9.5 is the primary corner target from 9.24 expected total corners.
UNDER 9.5