2026-08-02 | 12:00 AM
1.87 SCORE PREDICTION: 0 : 1 1.70
2
PREDICTION ENGINE ANALYSIS
MODEL PREDICTION
1
34.0%
HOME WIN
X
27.0%
DRAW
2
39.0%
AWAY WIN
SIGNAL BREAKDOWN
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Unlock Engine BreakdownTABLE STANDINGS
Liga Pro| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56 | 22 | +34 | 58 | 3.39 |
| 2 |  Universidad Catolica | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 19 | +19 | 39 | 2.48 |
| 3 |  Macara | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 23 | +7 | 38 | 2.30 |
| 4 |  Aucas | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | +1 | 38 | 2.22 |
| 5 |  Barcelona SC | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 35 | 1.83 |
| 6 |  LDU de Quito | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 35 | 1.78 |
| 7 |  Leones del Norte | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 32 | 2.00 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 31 | 2.13 |
| 9 |  Libertad | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 | 2.17 |
| 10 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 | 2.74 |
| 11 |  Guayaquil City FC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 28 | 1.96 |
| 12 |  Orense SC | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 26 | 2.70 |
| 13 |  Tecnico Universitario | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 26 | 2.13 |
| 14 |  Emelec | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 25 | 2.04 |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 23 | 1.61 |
| 16 |  Manta FC | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 14 | 1.65 |
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Top Scorers
Liga Pro1
B. Miranda (FW) Aucas
Aucas6 Goals (2 PEN)
Top Assists
Liga Pro1
P. Guzmán (MF) Aucas
Aucas4 Assists (1 Goals)
2
F. Pizzini (MF) Emelec
Emelec4 Assists
3
Andrés David Mena Montenegro (FW) Aucas
Aucas3 Assists (3 Goals)
Head to Head
EMELEC10 Wins 42% 24 MATCHES
10W7Draws 29% 7W
29GOALS
⚽23GOALS
AUCAS7 Wins 29% 71%Over 1.5
17 / 24 Matches
38%Over 2.5
9 / 24 Matches
21%Over 3.5
5 / 24 Matches
38%BTTS
9 / 24 Matches
42%Clean Sheets
EMELEC
38%Clean Sheets
AUCAS
PAST MEETINGS
MATCH INTRO
Tipping an away win is never the most comfortable position, but the data nudges us in that direction. Aucas have shown just enough quality on the road this season to edge out the type of hosts Emelec represent — neither dominant nor threatening, just consistently enough flawed to be vulnerable. This will not be a comfortable win if it materialises; it may well come down to a single moment. But our engine, having processed every available metric, sides with Aucas at a probability of 39%.
02/08/2026
LAST 6 MATCHES
EMELECLAST 6 MATCHESAUCASLAST 6 MATCHESTEAM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON
Emelec 
Ecuador - Liga Pro League Pos. 14 / 16
Ecuador - Liga Pro League Pos. 14 / 16| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L D L L | 1.22 |
| Home | W W D D L | 1.58 |
| Away | D D W L L | 0.82 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30.43% | 41.67% | 18.18% |
| AVG | 2.04 | 1.92 | 2.18 |
| Scored | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| Conceded | 1.22 | 0.92 | 1.55 |
| BTTS | 39.13% | 41.67% | 36.36% |
| CS | 34.78% | 41.67% | 27.27% |
| FTS | 34.78% | 25.00% | 45.45% |
Aucas Ecuador - Liga Pro League Pos. 4 / 16
Ecuador - Liga Pro League Pos. 4 / 16| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L L W | 1.77 |
| Home | W W W L L | 2.00 |
| Away | L W W L W | 1.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 53.85% | 66.67% | 42.86% |
| AVG | 2.54 | 2.83 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.23 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 38.46% | 33.33% | 42.86% |
| CS | 53.85% | 50.00% | 57.14% |
| FTS | 15.38% | 16.67% | 14.29% |
FORM EDGE ANALYSIS — WHO WILL WIN?
Form - HomeForm - Away
1.58
WWDDL
1.57
LWWLW
FIRST HALF GOAL PROBABILITY
0%HT O0.5
EmelecAucasSECOND HALF GOAL PROBABILITY
0%SH O0.5
EmelecAucasOVER / UNDER GOAL PROBABILITY
MODEL PREDICTION (LINE 2.5)
O
28.8%
OVER 2.5
U
71.2%
UNDER 2.5
⚽
1.45
Exp. Goals
SIGNAL BREAKDOWN (LINE 2.5)
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Unlock O/U Breakdown0%OVER 2.5
EmelecOver0%
Under0%
AucasOver0%
Under0%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE — BTTS TRACKER
—CHANCE
EmelecAucasRecent Match Resultsoldest → newest
Emelec
Aucas
GG — Both scoredNG — One or both didn't score
TRENDS
Emelec TRENDSLoading...
Aucas TRENDSLoading...
⚡ MATCH TEMPO RADAR
EmelecAucasEmelec
Aucas
CORNER KICK POISSON MATRIX
Exact corner score map
Each cell shows one possible corner score. Darker green cells are the most likely exact outcomes. Use this together with the model pick to judge the best corner target line.
Reliable corner data League and team corner history available.
Model pickUNDER 10.5
Expected total10.24
Emelec xC5.18
Aucas xC5.06
PossibleLikelyMost likely
| Home → Away ↓ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 1 | - | - | - | 0.692% | 0.786% | 0.76% | 0.649% | 0.503% | - | - | - |
| 2 | - | - | 0.951% | 1.346% | 1.528% | 1.478% | 1.263% | 0.978% | 0.698% | - | - |
| 3 | - | 0.67% | 1.324% | 1.875% | 2.129% | 2.058% | 1.759% | 1.362% | 0.973% | 0.649% | - |
| 4 | - | 0.748% | 1.478% | 2.094% | 2.377% | 2.298% | 1.964% | 1.521% | 1.086% | 0.725% | - |
| 5 | - | 0.711% | 1.406% | 1.991% | 2.26% | 2.185% | 1.867% | 1.446% | 1.033% | 0.689% | - |
| 6 | - | 0.597% | 1.182% | 1.673% | 1.9% | 1.837% | 1.57% | 1.215% | 0.868% | 0.579% | - |
| 7 | - | - | 0.9% | 1.274% | 1.447% | 1.399% | 1.195% | 0.926% | 0.661% | - | - |
| 8 | - | - | 0.632% | 0.895% | 1.016% | 0.982% | 0.84% | 0.65% | - | - | - |
| 9 | - | - | - | 0.587% | 0.667% | 0.645% | 0.551% | - | - | - | - |
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
UNDER 10.5 is the primary corner target from 10.24 expected total corners.
UNDER 10.5