PREDICTION ENGINE ANALYSIS

LOW
CONFIDENCE
9Active Signals
5/9Agreement
1Market Books
Cautious 1 1X2 Pick
MODEL PREDICTION
1
43.0%
HOME WIN
X
23.0%
DRAW
2
34.0%
AWAY WIN

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN

Premium Feature

Upgrade to GoalLogic Pro to see the exact signals, mathematical models, and market data powering this prediction.

Unlock Engine Breakdown

Who will win?

Voting closed at kickoff. Final community results are shown.

Total votes: 0

Will both teams score?

Voting closed at kickoff. Final community results are shown.

Total votes: 0

Who will score first?

Voting closed at kickoff. Final community results are shown.

Total votes: 0

TABLE STANDINGS

Liga Pro
#TEAMMPWDLGFGAGDPTSAVG
1
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
2319135622+34583.39
2
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
2311663819+19392.48
3
MacaraMacara
2311573023+7382.30
4
AucasAucas
2311572625+1382.22
5
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
239862418+6351.83
6
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
2310582318+5351.78
7
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
238872422+2322.00
8
Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca
2394102128-7312.13
9
LibertadLibertad
238692426-2302.17
10
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
237792934-5282.74
11
Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC
237792025-5281.96
12
Orense SCOrense SC
2375112735-8262.70
13
Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario
2382132029-9262.13
14
EmelecEmelec
237791928-9252.04
15
Delfin SCDelfin SC
2365121423-9231.61
16
Manta FCManta FC
233515929-20141.65
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs

Top Scorers

Liga Pro
1
Vilinton Germรกn Branda Merlรญn
Vilinton Germรกn Branda Merlรญn (MF)
Libertad
6 Goals
2
A. Herrera
A. Herrera (FW)
Orense SC
5 Goals (1 PEN)
3
G. Cortรฉz
G. Cortรฉz (FW)
Libertad
4 Goals

Top Assists

Liga Pro
1
G. Cortรฉz
G. Cortรฉz (FW)
Libertad
4 Assists (4 Goals)
2
E. Zambrano
E. Zambrano (MF)
Orense SC
3 Assists (2 Goals)

Head to Head

LibertadLIBERTAD3 Wins 33%
9 MATCHES
3W2Draws 22% 4W
11GOALS
โšฝ
11GOALS
Orense SCORENSE SC4 Wins 44%
67%Over 1.5
6 / 9 Matches
44%Over 2.5
4 / 9 Matches
22%Over 3.5
2 / 9 Matches
44%BTTS
4 / 9 Matches
33%Clean Sheets
LIBERTAD
33%Clean Sheets
ORENSE SC

PAST MEETINGS

MATCH INTRO

This is the kind of fixture that tests whether the league table lies โ€” and experience says it rarely does over ninety minutes. Libertad sit near the top of the Liga Pro for good reason, while Orense SC have found life at the other end of the table a grim experience. The quality gap is real, visible, and consistently reflected in the statistics. Our model does not hesitate: Home Win is the forecast, with an exceptionally high probability of 43%. An upset is possible, as it always is in football, but the data gives little encouragement to those who would bet on one.

01/08/2026

LAST 6 MATCHES

LIBERTADLAST 6 MATCHES
ORENSE SCLAST 6 MATCHES

TEAM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON

Libertad Ecuador - Liga Pro League Pos. 9 / 16
FormResultsPPG
OverallW L W W W1.30
HomeL L W W W1.82
AwayW L D L W0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34.78%54.55%16.67%
AVG2.172.182.17
Scored1.041.270.83
Conceded1.130.911.33
BTTS43.48%36.36%50.00%
CS34.78%45.45%25.00%
FTS34.78%27.27%41.67%
Orense SC Ecuador - Liga Pro League Pos. 12 / 16
FormResultsPPG
OverallL L W L L1.13
HomeL L L W L1.25
AwayW L D L L1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30.43%33.33%27.27%
AVG2.702.752.64
Scored1.171.331.00
Conceded1.521.421.64
BTTS65.22%75.00%54.55%
CS17.39%16.67%18.18%
FTS26.09%16.67%36.36%

FORM EDGE ANALYSIS โ€” WHO WILL WIN?

Form - HomeForm - Away
1.82
LLWWW
1.00
WLDLL

FIRST HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

0%HT O0.5
Combined HT Probability
Based on both teams' last 10 matches โ€” half-time scores
Libertad
Over
0%
Under
0%
Orense SC
Over
0%
Under
0%

SECOND HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

0%SH O0.5
Combined 2nd Half Probability
Based on both teams' last 10 matches โ€” second half scores
Libertad
Over
0%
Under
0%
Orense SC
Over
0%
Under
0%

OVER / UNDER GOAL PROBABILITY

MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE
โšก
7Active Signals
๐Ÿค
6/7Agreement
๐Ÿ“Š
Live Market Odds
๐Ÿ”ฅ
O/U Form Data
๐ŸŽš๏ธ
Lean O/U Pick
MODEL PREDICTION (LINE 2.5)
O
38.01%
OVER 2.5
U
61.99%
UNDER 2.5
โšฝ
2.07
Exp. Goals

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN (LINE 2.5)

Premium O/U Breakdown

Upgrade to GoalLogic Pro to see the exact Over/Under signals, model weights, market odds, form data, and goal-probability nudges powering this line 2.5 prediction.

Unlock O/U Breakdown
0%OVER 2.5
Combined Probability
Based on both teams' last 10 matches
Libertad
Over
0%
Under
0%
Orense SC
Over
0%
Under
0%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE โ€” BTTS TRACKER

โ€”CHANCE
โš  Limited data
Libertad
โ€”
Orense SC
โ€”
Recent Match Resultsoldest โ†’ newest
Libertad
Orense SC
GG โ€” Both scoredNG โ€” One or both didn't score

TRENDS

โšก MATCH TEMPO RADAR

Libertad
VS
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
CORNER KICK POISSON MATRIX
Exact corner score map

Each cell shows one possible corner score. Darker green cells are the most likely exact outcomes. Use this together with the model pick to judge the best corner target line.

Reliable corner data League and team corner history available.
Model pickUNDER 9.5
Expected total9.07
Libertad xC3.10
Orense SC xC5.97
PossibleLikelyMost likely
Home โ†’ Away โ†“012345678910+
0-----------
1--0.641%0.616%-------
2-1.043%1.399%1.344%1.035%0.678%-----
30.656%1.629%2.185%2.099%1.616%1.06%0.614%----
40.822%2.041%2.737%2.629%2.024%1.328%0.769%----
50.876%2.177%2.92%2.804%2.159%1.416%0.821%----
60.826%2.052%2.752%2.644%2.036%1.335%0.774%----
70.706%1.753%2.351%2.258%1.739%1.14%0.661%----
80.556%1.381%1.852%1.779%1.37%0.898%0.521%----
9-1.017%1.364%1.31%1.009%0.661%-----
10+-----------
UNDER 9.5 is the primary corner target from 9.07 expected total corners.
UNDER 9.5