Matches like this are sometimes about the gap in resources as much as the gap in form. Shakhter Soligorsk bring to Central City Stadium a squad depth, quality, and experience that Orsha simply cannot match on paper. While giant-killings do happen, our model is calibrated to the evidence — and the evidence points strongly toward the more resourceful side. An away win for Shakhter Soligorsk is our primary forecast, with a probability of 62%.