This may be the stadium, but do not be deceived by the home-and-away labels. Right now, Arnedo are the form side in this fixture — they have won 3 of their last matches and carry a confidence that a struggling Calahorra side simply cannot match. Form is temporary, but momentum is real, and Arnedo have it in full. Our model overrides the home advantage calculation and tips Arnedo for victory here, assigning a win probability of 0%.