PREDICTION ENGINE ANALYSIS

LOW
CONFIDENCE
8Active Signals
6/8Agreement
1Market Books
Cautious 2 1X2 Pick
MODEL PREDICTION
1
25.0%
HOME WIN
X
30.0%
DRAW
2
45.0%
AWAY WIN

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN

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Who will win?

Voting closed at kickoff. Final community results are shown.

Total votes: 0

Will both teams score?

Voting closed at kickoff. Final community results are shown.

Total votes: 0

Who will score first?

Voting closed at kickoff. Final community results are shown.

Total votes: 0

TABLE STANDINGS

Primera División
#TEAMMPWDLGFGAGDPTSAVG
1
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
171241308+22402.24
2
Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas
1710432521+4342.71
3
CiencianoCienciano
1710343422+12333.29
4
UniversitarioUniversitario
178542415+9292.29
5
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
178452920+9282.88
6
CuscoCusco
178362124-3272.65
7
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
177552118+3262.29
8
Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
175662018+2212.24
9
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
175661820-2212.24
10
ADTADT
175572221+1202.53
11
Sport BoysSport Boys
175571519-4202.00
12
Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
175482830-2193.41
13
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
174672126-5182.76
14
UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
175391724-7182.41
15
FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
174582328-5173.00
16
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
174491218-6161.76
17
Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo
174492131-10163.06
18
Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
174492240-18163.65
#TEAMMPWDLGFGAGDPTSAVG
1
Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
321074+373.67
2
FBC MelgarFBC Melgar
321052+372.33
3
CuscoCusco
320194+564.33
4
Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo
320152+362.33
5
Sporting CristalSporting Cristal
320142+262.00
6
Sport BoysSport Boys
320131+261.33
7
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
320132+161.67
8
Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas
320155063.33
9
UniversitarioUniversitario
320144062.67
10
Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College
311144042.67
11
UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
303022031.33
12
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
310234-132.33
13
CiencianoCienciano
310235-232.67
14
Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
310258-334.33
15
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
302167-124.33
16
FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
301236-313.00
17
UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
301227-513.00
18
ADTADT
300315-402.00
Play-offs

Top Scorers

Primera División
1
E. Castillo
E. Castillo (FW)
Alianza Lima
14 Goals
2
M. Sen
M. Sen (FW)
Comerciantes Unidos
8 Goals (1 PEN)
3
R. Garcés
R. Garcés (DF)
Alianza Lima
5 Goals

Top Assists

Primera División
1
E. Castillo
E. Castillo (FW)
Alianza Lima
5 Assists (14 Goals)
2
J. Vélez
J. Vélez (MF)
Alianza Lima
5 Assists (4 Goals)
3
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta (MF)
Comerciantes Unidos
5 Assists (2 Goals)
4
Jordan Bladimir Herrera Reyes
Jordan Bladimir Herrera Reyes (MF)
Comerciantes Unidos
4 Assists (3 Goals)

Head to Head

Comerciantes UnidosCOMERCIANTES UNIDOS4 Wins 24%
17 MATCHES
4W4Draws 24% 9W
13GOALS
31GOALS
Alianza LimaALIANZA LIMA9 Wins 53%
71%Over 1.5
12 / 17 Matches
53%Over 2.5
9 / 17 Matches
29%Over 3.5
5 / 17 Matches
41%BTTS
7 / 17 Matches
29%Clean Sheets
COMERCIANTES UNIDOS
47%Clean Sheets
ALIANZA LIMA

PAST MEETINGS

MATCH INTRO

Not every football fixture is a showcase of excellence. When Comerciantes Unidos and Alianza Lima square off at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, what is on display is something rawer: two clubs scrapping for points with urgency born of necessity rather than ambition. Neither side has been able to find a consistent rhythm this season, and the data reflects that. Our model does its best with imperfect information and arrives at a Away Win as the most likely outcome, though the 45% probability reflects just how unpredictable both of these sides have been.

26/07/2026

LAST 6 MATCHES

COMERCIANTES UNIDOSLAST 6 MATCHES
ALIANZA LIMALAST 6 MATCHES

TEAM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON

Comerciantes Unidos Peru - Primera División Apertura - League Pos. 9 / 18Clausura - League Pos. 15 / 18
FormResultsPPG
OverallL D D D L1.10
HomeW D D1.67
AwayD D L D L0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20.00%33.33%14.29%
AVG3.101.673.71
Scored1.501.001.71
Conceded1.600.672.00
BTTS70.00%33.33%85.71%
CS20.00%66.67%0.00%
FTS20.00%33.33%14.29%
Alianza Lima Peru - Primera División Apertura - League Pos. 1 / 18Clausura - League Pos. 1 / 18
FormResultsPPG
OverallW D W D W2.35
HomeW D W W W2.80
AwayW W W D D1.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70.00%90.00%50.00%
AVG2.453.301.60
Scored1.852.701.00
Conceded0.600.600.60
BTTS50.00%60.00%40.00%
CS45.00%40.00%50.00%
FTS10.00%0.00%20.00%

FORM EDGE ANALYSIS — WHO WILL WIN?

Form - HomeForm - Away
1.67
WDD
1.90
WWWDD

FIRST HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

0%HT O0.5
Combined HT Probability
Based on both teams' last 10 matches — half-time scores
Comerciantes Unidos
Over
0%
Under
0%
Alianza Lima
Over
0%
Under
0%

SECOND HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

0%SH O0.5
Combined 2nd Half Probability
Based on both teams' last 10 matches — second half scores
Comerciantes Unidos
Over
0%
Under
0%
Alianza Lima
Over
0%
Under
0%

OVER / UNDER GOAL PROBABILITY

MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE
7Active Signals
🤝
5/7Agreement
📊
Live Market Odds
🔥
O/U Form Data
🎚️
Lean O/U Pick
MODEL PREDICTION (LINE 2.5)
O
28.1%
OVER 2.5
U
71.9%
UNDER 2.5
0.82
Exp. Goals

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN (LINE 2.5)

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0%OVER 2.5
Combined Probability
Based on both teams' last 10 matches
Comerciantes Unidos
Over
0%
Under
0%
Alianza Lima
Over
0%
Under
0%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE — BTTS TRACKER

CHANCE
✓ High reliability
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Recent Match Resultsoldest → newest
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
GG — Both scoredNG — One or both didn't score

TRENDS

⚡ MATCH TEMPO RADAR

Comerciantes Unidos
VS
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
CORNER KICK POISSON MATRIX
Exact corner score map

Each cell shows one possible corner score. Darker green cells are the most likely exact outcomes. Use this together with the model pick to judge the best corner target line.

Partial corner data Partial corner history; probabilities are capped.
Model pickUNDER 11.5
Expected total11.68
Comerciantes Unidos xC5.63
Alianza Lima xC6.05
PossibleLikelyMost likely
Home → Away ↓012345678910+
0-----------
1----0.504%0.501%-----
2--0.624%0.866%0.99%0.984%0.882%0.728%0.563%--
3--0.904%1.255%1.434%1.426%1.278%1.055%0.815%0.597%-
4-0.572%1.077%1.496%1.709%1.7%1.523%1.257%0.972%0.711%-
5-0.594%1.118%1.552%1.773%1.763%1.58%1.304%1.008%0.738%-
6-0.555%1.045%1.451%1.657%1.648%1.477%1.219%0.942%0.689%-
7--0.9%1.25%1.427%1.42%1.272%1.05%0.812%0.594%-
8--0.725%1.007%1.151%1.145%1.025%0.847%0.654%--
9--0.554%0.769%0.878%0.874%0.783%0.646%---
10+-----------
UNDER 11.5 is the primary corner target from 11.68 expected total corners.
UNDER 11.5