2026-08-02 | 08:30 PM
2.36 SCORE PREDICTION: 1 : 2 1.23
2
PREDICTION ENGINE ANALYSIS
MODEL PREDICTION
1
33.0%
HOME WIN
X
26.0%
DRAW
2
41.0%
AWAY WIN
SIGNAL BREAKDOWN
Premium Feature
Upgrade to GoalLogic Pro to see the exact signals, mathematical models, and market data powering this prediction.
Unlock Engine BreakdownTABLE STANDINGS
Primera División| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | +22 | 40 | 2.24 |
| 2 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | +4 | 34 | 2.71 |
| 3 |  Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | +12 | 33 | 3.29 |
| 4 |  Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 29 | 2.29 |
| 5 |  FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 28 | 2.88 |
| 6 |  Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 27 | 2.65 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 26 | 2.29 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 21 | 2.24 |
| 9 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 | 2.24 |
| 10 |  ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | +1 | 20 | 2.53 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 20 | 2.00 |
| 12 |  Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 19 | 3.41 |
| 13 |  UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 18 | 2.76 |
| 14 |  UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 | 2.41 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 17 | 3.00 |
| 16 |  Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 16 | 1.76 |
| 17 |  Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 | 3.06 |
| 18 |  Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 16 | 3.65 |
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 | 3.67 |
| 2 | FBC Melgar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 |
| 3 | Cusco | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 6 | 4.33 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 2.33 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 |
| 6 | Sport Boys | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 1.33 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 1.67 |
| 8 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 3.33 |
| 9 | Universitario | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2.67 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2.67 |
| 11 | UCV Moquegua | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1.33 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 2.33 |
| 13 | Cienciano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | 2.67 |
| 14 | Alianza Atletico | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | 4.33 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 2 | 4.33 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 3.00 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | 3.00 |
| 18 | ADT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 2.00 |
Play-offs
Top Scorers
Primera División1
J. Vidales (MF) FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar9 Goals (3 PEN)
2
B. Cuesta (FW) FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar8 Goals
3
E. Lastre (MF) UCV Moquegua
UCV Moquegua7 Goals
Top Assists
Primera División1
N. Quagliata (FW) FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar8 Assists (5 Goals)
2
B. Cuesta (FW) FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar5 Assists (8 Goals)
3
Matias Zegarra (DF) FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar4 Assists (3 Goals)
4
E. Lastre (MF) UCV Moquegua
UCV Moquegua3 Assists (7 Goals)
Head to Head
UCV MOQUEGUA2 Wins 67% 3 MATCHES
2W1Draws 33% 0W
6GOALS
⚽0GOALS
FBC MELGAR0 Wins 0% 67%Over 1.5
2 / 3 Matches
33%Over 2.5
1 / 3 Matches
33%Over 3.5
1 / 3 Matches
0%BTTS
0 / 3 Matches
100%Clean Sheets
UCV MOQUEGUA
33%Clean Sheets
FBC MELGAR
PAST MEETINGS
MATCH INTRO
Tipping an away win is never the most comfortable position, but the data nudges us in that direction. FBC Melgar have shown just enough quality on the road this season to edge out the type of hosts UCV Moquegua represent — neither dominant nor threatening, just consistently enough flawed to be vulnerable. This will not be a comfortable win if it materialises; it may well come down to a single moment. But our engine, having processed every available metric, sides with FBC Melgar at a probability of 41%.
02/08/2026
LAST 6 MATCHES
UCV MOQUEGUALAST 6 MATCHESFBC MELGARLAST 6 MATCHESTEAM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON
UCV Moquegua 
Peru - Primera División Apertura - League Pos. 14 / 18Clausura - League Pos. 11 / 18
Peru - Primera División Apertura - League Pos. 14 / 18Clausura - League Pos. 11 / 18| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L D D D | 1.80 |
| Home | W W W D D | 2.33 |
| Away | W L L D | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50.00% | 66.67% | 25.00% |
| AVG | 2.30 | 2.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 60.00% | 50.00% | 75.00% |
| CS | 40.00% | 50.00% | 25.00% |
| FTS | 20.00% | 16.67% | 25.00% |
FBC Melgar Peru - Primera División Apertura - League Pos. 5 / 18Clausura - League Pos. 2 / 18
Peru - Primera División Apertura - League Pos. 5 / 18Clausura - League Pos. 2 / 18| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W D W W D | 1.70 |
| Home | W W W | 3.00 |
| Away | L L D W D | 1.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50.00% | 100.00% | 28.57% |
| AVG | 2.80 | 3.33 | 2.57 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.67 | 1.14 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.67 | 1.43 |
| BTTS | 70.00% | 66.67% | 71.43% |
| CS | 20.00% | 33.33% | 14.29% |
| FTS | 20.00% | 0.00% | 28.57% |
FORM EDGE ANALYSIS — WHO WILL WIN?
Form - HomeForm - Away
2.33
WWWDD
1.14
LLDWD
FIRST HALF GOAL PROBABILITY
0%HT O0.5
UCV MoqueguaFBC MelgarSECOND HALF GOAL PROBABILITY
0%SH O0.5
UCV MoqueguaFBC MelgarOVER / UNDER GOAL PROBABILITY
MODEL PREDICTION (LINE 2.5)
O
54.13%
OVER 2.5
U
45.87%
UNDER 2.5
⚽
3.39
Exp. Goals
SIGNAL BREAKDOWN (LINE 2.5)
Premium O/U Breakdown
Upgrade to GoalLogic Pro to see the exact Over/Under signals, model weights, market odds, form data, and goal-probability nudges powering this line 2.5 prediction.
Unlock O/U Breakdown0%OVER 2.5
UCV MoqueguaOver0%
Under0%
FBC MelgarOver0%
Under0%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE — BTTS TRACKER
—CHANCE
UCV MoqueguaFBC MelgarRecent Match Resultsoldest → newest
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
GG — Both scoredNG — One or both didn't score
TRENDS
UCV Moquegua TRENDSLoading...
FBC Melgar TRENDSLoading...
⚡ MATCH TEMPO RADAR
UCV MoqueguaFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
CORNER KICK POISSON MATRIX
Exact corner score map
Each cell shows one possible corner score. Darker green cells are the most likely exact outcomes. Use this together with the model pick to judge the best corner target line.
Reliable corner data League and team corner history available.
Model pickUNDER 10.5
Expected total10.09
UCV Moquegua xC5.11
FBC Melgar xC4.98
PossibleLikelyMost likely
| Home → Away ↓ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 1 | - | - | 0.527% | 0.74% | 0.832% | 0.796% | 0.674% | 0.517% | - | - | - |
| 2 | - | 0.518% | 1.014% | 1.422% | 1.599% | 1.532% | 1.296% | 0.994% | 0.703% | - | - |
| 3 | - | 0.713% | 1.397% | 1.959% | 2.202% | 2.109% | 1.785% | 1.369% | 0.968% | 0.64% | - |
| 4 | - | 0.787% | 1.542% | 2.162% | 2.431% | 2.328% | 1.971% | 1.511% | 1.069% | 0.706% | - |
| 5 | - | 0.74% | 1.449% | 2.033% | 2.286% | 2.189% | 1.853% | 1.421% | 1.005% | 0.664% | - |
| 6 | - | 0.615% | 1.204% | 1.689% | 1.899% | 1.819% | 1.539% | 1.181% | 0.835% | 0.552% | - |
| 7 | - | - | 0.907% | 1.272% | 1.43% | 1.37% | 1.159% | 0.889% | 0.629% | - | - |
| 8 | - | - | 0.63% | 0.883% | 0.993% | 0.951% | 0.805% | 0.617% | - | - | - |
| 9 | - | - | - | 0.573% | 0.644% | 0.617% | 0.522% | - | - | - | - |
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
UNDER 10.5 is the primary corner target from 10.09 expected total corners.
UNDER 10.5