What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?

According to the GoalLogic prediction models, the match has a 38.0% chance of a home win, a 25.0% chance of a draw, and a 37.0% chance of an away win. The primary mathematical pick is Independiente Medellin win with a confidence rating of LOW.

What is the H2H (Head to Head) record between Independiente Medellin and Deportivo Pasto?

The historical head-to-head records show a total of 26 meetings. Independiente Medellin has won 12 times, Deportivo Pasto has won 7 times, and there have been 7 draws.

Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our dynamic Both Teams to Score (BTTS) model projects the probability of both teams scoring based on recent home/away streaks and defensive records. Please check the real-time calculated percentages and value signals on our GoalLogic BTTS analysis panel.

GoalLogic | Smart Football Predictions

2026-07-25 | 09:05 PM

Independiente Medellin

1 1.70

3-2

Finished

X 3.60

Deportivo Pasto

2 5.25

D W L W W

L L W L L

1.55 SCORE PREDICTION: 2 : 1 1.31

PREDICTION ENGINE ANALYSIS

LOW

CONFIDENCE

9Active Signals

5/9Agreement

1Market Books

Cautious 1 1X2 Pick

MODEL PREDICTION

38.0%

HOME WIN

25.0%

DRAW

37.0%

AWAY WIN

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN

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Who will win?

Voting closed at kickoff. Final community results are shown.

Total votes: 0

Will both teams score?

Voting closed at kickoff. Final community results are shown.

Total votes: 0

Who will score first?

Voting closed at kickoff. Final community results are shown.

Total votes: 0

TABLE STANDINGS

Primera A

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS	AVG
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	+20	40	2.63
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	+7	35	2.89
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	+4	34	2.84
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	+10	33	2.11
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	+9	33	2.79
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	+10	31	2.32
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	+7	29	2.68
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28	2.74
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	+4	27	1.89
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	+8	26	2.84
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	+2	26	2.63
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26	2.37
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	+6	23	2.42
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22	1.95
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22	2.58
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18	2.79
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17	2.11
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17	2.47
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16	3.00
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10	2.47

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS	AVG
1	America de Cali	3	3	0	0	10	0	+10	9	3.33
2	Independiente Medellin	3	3	0	0	7	4	+3	9	3.67
3	Llaneros	3	2	1	0	5	2	+3	7	2.33
4	Águilas Doradas	2	2	0	0	4	2	+2	6	3.00
5	Millonarios	3	2	0	1	3	1	+2	6	1.33
6	Deportes Tolima	3	2	0	1	6	5	+1	6	3.67
7	Bucaramanga	3	1	2	0	3	2	+1	5	1.67
8	Once Caldas	3	1	1	1	7	4	+3	4	3.67
9	Atletico Nacional	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3	3.00
10	Deportivo Cali	2	1	0	1	2	1	+1	3	1.50
11	Internacional de Bogota	2	1	0	1	1	2	-1	3	1.50
12	Fortaleza FC	3	0	2	1	2	4	-2	2	2.00
13	Santa Fe	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1	3.50
14	Alianza Valledupar	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	2.50
15	Deportivo Pereira	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.50
16	Cucuta	2	0	1	1	2	6	-4	1	4.00
17	Junior	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0	2.00
18	Deportivo Pasto	3	0	0	3	3	7	-4	0	3.33
19	Jaguares	3	0	0	3	0	6	-6	0	2.00
20	Chico	1	0	0	1	0	7	-7	0	7.00

Post season qualification

Top Scorers

Primera A

A. Estupiñán (FW)

Deportivo Pasto

13 Goals (4 PEN)

S. Cordoba (FW)

Deportivo Pasto

6 Goals

Top Assists

Primera A

A. Estupiñán (FW)

Deportivo Pasto

3 Assists (13 Goals)

Head to Head

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN12 Wins 46%

26 MATCHES

12W7Draws 27% 7W

30GOALS

⚽

21GOALS

DEPORTIVO PASTO7 Wins 27%

46%Over 1.5

12 / 26 Matches

35%Over 2.5

9 / 26 Matches

23%Over 3.5

6 / 26 Matches

42%BTTS

11 / 26 Matches

38%Clean Sheets

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN

35%Clean Sheets

DEPORTIVO PASTO

PAST MEETINGS

MATCH INTRO

On paper, Independiente Medellin should be the dominant force here. Their home record is solid, the crowd at Estadio Atanasio Girardot will be behind them, and they carry slightly superior individual quality. But Deportivo Pasto have a stubborn streak that the numbers confirm — they have avoided defeat in a large portion of their recent away games, grinding out results when the odds are against them. Our engine believes that defensive resilience will prove just enough to deny Independiente Medellin a win, with a 38% probability pointing toward a share of the spoils.

25/07/2026

LAST 6 MATCHES

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLINLAST 6 MATCHES

DEPORTIVO PASTOLAST 6 MATCHES

TEAM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON

Independiente Medellin

Colombia - Primera A Apertura - League Pos. 11 / 20Clausura - League Pos. 2 / 20

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	D L W W W	1.33
Home	D W L W W	1.57
Away	L D L D W	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33.33%	42.86%	20.00%
AVG	2.83	3.29	2.20
Scored	1.42	1.71	1.00
Conceded	1.42	1.57	1.20
BTTS	75.00%	85.71%	60.00%
CS	16.67%	14.29%	20.00%
FTS	16.67%	0.00%	40.00%

Deportivo Pasto

Colombia - Primera A Apertura - League Pos. 3 / 20Clausura - League Pos. 18 / 20

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	L L L L L	1.42
Home	L W L L L	1.67
Away	W L L L L	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41.67%	50.00%	33.33%
AVG	2.79	2.25	3.33
Scored	1.33	1.25	1.42
Conceded	1.46	1.00	1.92
BTTS	54.17%	50.00%	58.33%
CS	29.17%	41.67%	16.67%
FTS	25.00%	16.67%	33.33%

FORM EDGE ANALYSIS — WHO WILL WIN?

Form - HomeForm - Away

1.57

DWLWW

1.17

WLLLL

FIRST HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

0%HT O0.5

Combined HT Probability

Based on both teams' last 10 matches — half-time scores

Independiente Medellin

Over

Under

Deportivo Pasto

Over

Under

SECOND HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

0%SH O0.5

Combined 2nd Half Probability

Based on both teams' last 10 matches — second half scores

Independiente Medellin

Over

Under

Deportivo Pasto

Over

Under

OVER / UNDER GOAL PROBABILITY

LOW

CONFIDENCE

⚡

7Active Signals

🤝

3/7Agreement

📊

Live Market Odds

🔥

O/U Form Data

🎚️

No Strong O/U Pick

MODEL PREDICTION (LINE 2.5)

51.59%

OVER 2.5

48.41%

UNDER 2.5

⚽

4.85

Exp. Goals

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN (LINE 2.5)

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0%OVER 2.5

Combined Probability

Based on both teams' last 10 matches

Independiente Medellin

Over

Under

Deportivo Pasto

Over

Under

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE — BTTS TRACKER

—CHANCE

~ Medium reliability

Independiente Medellin

—

Deportivo Pasto

—

Recent Match Resultsoldest → newest

Independiente Medellin

Deportivo Pasto

GG — Both scoredNG — One or both didn't score

TRENDS

Independiente Medellin TRENDS

Deportivo Pasto TRENDS

⚡ MATCH TEMPO RADAR

Independiente Medellin

Deportivo Pasto

Independiente Medellin

Deportivo Pasto

CORNER KICK POISSON MATRIX

Exact corner score map

Each cell shows one possible corner score. Darker green cells are the most likely exact outcomes. Use this together with the model pick to judge the best corner target line.

Low corner data Limited corner history; low-confidence fallback only.

Model pickUNDER 11.5

Expected total11.70

Independiente Medellin xC6.38

Deportivo Pasto xC5.32

PossibleLikelyMost likely

Home → Away ↓	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
1	-	-	-	0.651%	0.745%	0.761%	0.715%	0.631%	0.53%	-	-
2	-	-	0.776%	1.044%	1.194%	1.22%	1.147%	1.012%	0.849%	0.684%	-
3	-	0.545%	0.956%	1.287%	1.471%	1.503%	1.413%	1.247%	1.046%	0.842%	-
4	-	0.571%	1.0%	1.346%	1.539%	1.572%	1.479%	1.305%	1.095%	0.881%	-
5	-	0.534%	0.935%	1.258%	1.439%	1.47%	1.382%	1.22%	1.023%	0.824%	-
6	-	-	0.804%	1.083%	1.238%	1.265%	1.19%	1.05%	0.881%	0.709%	-
7	-	-	0.65%	0.875%	1.0%	1.021%	0.961%	0.848%	0.711%	0.572%	-
8	-	-	-	0.671%	0.768%	0.784%	0.737%	0.651%	0.546%	-	-
9	-	-	-	-	0.566%	0.578%	0.543%	-	-	-	-
10+	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

UNDER 11.5 is the primary corner target from 11.70 expected total corners.

UNDER 11.5

#	TEAM	PTS	GP	W	D	L	+/-
1	Cambuur	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Fortuna Sittard	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	PEC Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	NEC Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Willem II	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	ADO Den Haag	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	GO Ahead Eagles	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0	0

MATCH STATISTICS

PREDICTION ENGINE ANALYSIS

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN

Premium Feature

Who will win?

Will both teams score?

Who will score first?

TABLE STANDINGS

Top Scorers

Top Assists

Head to Head

LAST 6 MATCHES

TEAM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON

FORM EDGE ANALYSIS — WHO WILL WIN?

FIRST HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

SECOND HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

OVER / UNDER GOAL PROBABILITY

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN (LINE 2.5)

Premium O/U Breakdown

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE — BTTS TRACKER

TRENDS

⚡ MATCH TEMPO RADAR