On paper, Nieciecza should be the dominant force here. Their home record is solid, the crowd at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza will be behind them, and they carry slightly superior individual quality. But Ruch Chorzów have a stubborn streak that the numbers confirm — they have avoided defeat in a large portion of their recent away games, grinding out results when the odds are against them. Our engine believes that defensive resilience will prove just enough to deny Nieciecza a win, with a 44% probability pointing toward a share of the spoils.