Matches like this are sometimes about the gap in resources as much as the gap in form. FC St. Pauli bring to the stadium a squad depth, quality, and experience that Altona 93 simply cannot match on paper. While giant-killings do happen, our model is calibrated to the evidence — and the evidence points strongly toward the more resourceful side. An away win for FC St. Pauli is our primary forecast, with a probability of 60%.