This is not a fixture for the faint-hearted punter. OH Leuven carry the slight edge that comes with playing on familiar ground, and their recent WWLDL form at home edges them ahead in our model's assessment. But K. Lierse S.K. are not here to make up the numbers — they have shown quality on their travels this season and will not be easy to break down. After weighing every variable, our engine leans toward OH Leuven but does so carefully, registering a win probability of just 42%. Margins will be thin.