PREDICTION ENGINE ANALYSIS

MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE
8Active Signals
8/8Agreement
1Market Books
Lean 1 1X2 Pick
MODEL PREDICTION
1
54.0%
HOME WIN
X
25.0%
DRAW
2
21.0%
AWAY WIN

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN

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TABLE STANDINGS

First League
#TEAMMPWDLGFGAGDPTSAVG
1
Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod
4400114+7123.75
2
VelesVeles
430155092.50
3
FC UFAFC UFA
422073+482.50
4
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
422073+482.50
5
UralUral
421161+571.75
6
Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva
421153+272.00
7
EniseyEnisey
421187+173.75
8
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
420264+262.50
9
Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd
420266063.00
10
FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik
420223-161.25
11
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
420237-462.50
12
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
412156-152.75
13
FC SochiFC Sochi
411286+243.50
14
LeningradetsLeningradets
411226-442.00
15
Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk
410347-332.75
16
TekstilshchikTekstilshchik
402235-222.00
17
KAMAZKAMAZ
401338-512.75
18
Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk
400418-702.25

Head to Head

Shinnik YaroslavlSHINNIK YAROSLAVL5 Wins 62%
8 MATCHES
5W2Draws 25% 1W
10GOALS
โšฝ
6GOALS
Arsenal TulaARSENAL TULA1 Wins 12%
75%Over 1.5
6 / 8 Matches
25%Over 2.5
2 / 8 Matches
0%Over 3.5
0 / 8 Matches
50%BTTS
4 / 8 Matches
38%Clean Sheets
SHINNIK YAROSLAVL
12%Clean Sheets
ARSENAL TULA

PAST MEETINGS

MATCH INTRO

Do not expect an open, expansive affair at Stadion Shinnik. Both sides have shown a tendency to keep things tight โ€” Shinnik Yaroslavl frequently edge their home games by a narrow margin, and Arsenal Tula have found the net in fewer than half of their away matches this season. The likely narrative here is a disciplined, attritional contest decided by a moment of quality rather than a goalfest. Our engine forecasts a home win for Shinnik Yaroslavl at 54% probability, with the scoreline almost certainly a narrow one.

08/08/2026

LAST 6 MATCHES

SHINNIK YAROSLAVLLAST 6 MATCHES
ARSENAL TULALAST 6 MATCHES

TEAM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON

Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia - First League League Pos. 12 / 18
FormResultsPPG
OverallD W D L1.25
HomeD W2.00
AwayD L0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25.00%50.00%0.00%
AVG2.753.002.50
Scored1.252.000.50
Conceded1.501.002.00
BTTS50.00%50.00%50.00%
CS25.00%50.00%0.00%
FTS25.00%0.00%50.00%
Arsenal Tula Russia - First League League Pos. 11 / 18
FormResultsPPG
OverallW L L W1.50
HomeW L W2.00
AwayL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50.00%66.67%0.00%
AVG2.501.675.00
Scored0.751.000.00
Conceded1.750.675.00
BTTS25.00%33.33%0.00%
CS25.00%33.33%0.00%
FTS50.00%33.33%100.00%

FORM EDGE ANALYSIS โ€” WHO WILL WIN?

Form - HomeForm - Away
2.00
DW
0.00
L

FIRST HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

0%HT O0.5
Combined HT Probability
Based on both teams' last 10 matches โ€” half-time scores
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Over
0%
Under
0%
Arsenal Tula
Over
0%
Under
0%

SECOND HALF GOAL PROBABILITY

0%SH O0.5
Combined 2nd Half Probability
Based on both teams' last 10 matches โ€” second half scores
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Over
0%
Under
0%
Arsenal Tula
Over
0%
Under
0%

OVER / UNDER GOAL PROBABILITY

LOW
CONFIDENCE
โšก
7Active Signals
๐Ÿค
4/7Agreement
๐Ÿ“Š
Live Market Odds
๐Ÿ”ฅ
O/U Form Data
๐ŸŽš๏ธ
No Strong O/U Pick
MODEL PREDICTION (LINE 2.5)
O
40.66%
OVER 2.5
U
59.34%
UNDER 2.5
โšฝ
3.18
Exp. Goals

SIGNAL BREAKDOWN (LINE 2.5)

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0%OVER 2.5
Combined Probability
Based on both teams' last 10 matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Over
0%
Under
0%
Arsenal Tula
Over
0%
Under
0%

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE โ€” BTTS TRACKER

โ€”CHANCE
โš  Limited data
Shinnik Yaroslavl
โ€”
Arsenal Tula
โ€”
Recent Match Resultsoldest โ†’ newest
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Arsenal Tula
GG โ€” Both scoredNG โ€” One or both didn't score

TRENDS

โšก MATCH TEMPO RADAR

Shinnik Yaroslavl
VS
Arsenal Tula
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Arsenal Tula
CORNER KICK POISSON MATRIX
Exact corner score map

Each cell shows one possible corner score. Darker green cells are the most likely exact outcomes. Use this together with the model pick to judge the best corner target line.

Partial corner data Partial corner history; probabilities are capped.
Model pickUNDER 10.5
Expected total10.73
Shinnik Yaroslavl xC6.46
Arsenal Tula xC4.27
PossibleLikelyMost likely
Home โ†’ Away โ†“012345678910+
0-----------
1--0.558%0.839%1.038%1.119%1.085%0.971%0.812%0.644%-
2--0.882%1.327%1.642%1.769%1.716%1.535%1.284%1.018%-
3-0.505%1.03%1.549%1.916%2.064%2.003%1.791%1.499%1.188%-
4--0.988%1.487%1.839%1.981%1.923%1.719%1.439%1.14%-
5--0.826%1.242%1.537%1.656%1.607%1.437%1.202%0.953%-
6--0.622%0.935%1.157%1.247%1.21%1.082%0.905%0.717%-
7---0.649%0.803%0.865%0.839%0.75%0.628%--
8----0.521%0.562%0.545%----
9-----------
10+-----------
UNDER 10.5 is the primary corner target from 10.73 expected total corners.
UNDER 10.5