Midweek football has a different texture to the weekend game — legs are heavier, concentration lapses more readily, and the tactical plans laid in a Saturday debrief meeting are harder to execute when the muscle memory is still recovering. Both Noah II and Mika have been in action recently, and squad rotation could affect the balance of this contest. Our model accounts for fatigue indicators and still arrives at a Home Win as the primary forecast, though at a slightly moderated probability of 67% given the contextual uncertainty.