2026-08-04 |
2.44 SCORE PREDICTION: 2 : 1 1.50
1
PREDICTION ENGINE ANALYSIS
MODEL PREDICTION
1
41.0%
HOME WIN
X
22.0%
DRAW
2
37.0%
AWAY WIN
SIGNAL BREAKDOWN
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Unlock Engine BreakdownHead to Head
SPARTA PRAHA0 Wins 0% 2 MATCHES
0W0Draws 0% 2W
3GOALS
⚽7GOALS
LYON2 Wins 100% 100%Over 1.5
2 / 2 Matches
100%Over 2.5
2 / 2 Matches
50%Over 3.5
1 / 2 Matches
50%BTTS
1 / 2 Matches
0%Clean Sheets
SPARTA PRAHA
50%Clean Sheets
LYON
PAST MEETINGS
MATCH INTRO
On paper, Sparta Praha should be the dominant force here. Their home record is solid, the crowd at epet ARENA will be behind them, and they carry slightly superior individual quality. But Lyon have a stubborn streak that the numbers confirm — they have avoided defeat in a large portion of their recent away games, grinding out results when the odds are against them. Our engine believes that defensive resilience will prove just enough to deny Sparta Praha a win, with a 41% probability pointing toward a share of the spoils.
04/08/2026
LAST 6 MATCHES
SPARTA PRAHALAST 6 MATCHESLYONLAST 6 MATCHESTEAM PERFORMANCE COMPARISON
Sparta Praha World - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W | 1.50 |
| Home | W | 3.00 |
| Away | L | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% |
| AVG | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| CS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| FTS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Lyon 
World - UEFA Champions League
World - UEFA Champions League | Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L W L | 2.00 |
| Home | W W W | 3.00 |
| Away | L W L | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 66.67% | 100.00% | 33.33% |
| AVG | 4.50 | 6.33 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 4.33 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% |
| CS | 16.67% | 0.00% | 33.33% |
| FTS | 33.33% | 0.00% | 66.67% |
FORM EDGE ANALYSIS — WHO WILL WIN?
Form - HomeForm - Away
3.00
W
1.00
LWL
FIRST HALF GOAL PROBABILITY
0%HT O0.5
Sparta PrahaLyonSECOND HALF GOAL PROBABILITY
0%SH O0.5
Sparta PrahaLyonOVER / UNDER GOAL PROBABILITY
MODEL PREDICTION (LINE 2.5)
O
62.95%
OVER 2.5
U
37.05%
UNDER 2.5
⚽
4.64
Exp. Goals
SIGNAL BREAKDOWN (LINE 2.5)
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Unlock O/U Breakdown0%OVER 2.5
Sparta PrahaOver0%
Under0%
LyonOver0%
Under0%
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE — BTTS TRACKER
—CHANCE
Sparta PrahaLyonRecent Match Resultsoldest → newest
Sparta Praha
Lyon
GG — Both scoredNG — One or both didn't score
TRENDS
Sparta Praha TRENDSLoading...
Lyon TRENDSLoading...
⚡ MATCH TEMPO RADAR
Sparta PrahaLyonSparta Praha
Lyon
CORNER KICK POISSON MATRIX
Exact corner score map
Each cell shows one possible corner score. Darker green cells are the most likely exact outcomes. Use this together with the model pick to judge the best corner target line.
Partial corner data Partial corner history; probabilities are capped.
Model pickOVER 11.5
Expected total14.81
Sparta Praha xC9.32
Lyon xC5.49
PossibleLikelyMost likely
| Home → Away ↓ | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | - | - | - | - | 0.512% | 0.666% | 0.782% | 0.845% | 0.855% | 0.819% | - |
| 3 | - | - | - | - | 0.7% | 0.912% | 1.069% | 1.156% | 1.17% | 1.121% | - |
| 4 | - | - | - | 0.527% | 0.788% | 1.026% | 1.203% | 1.301% | 1.316% | 1.261% | - |
| 5 | - | - | - | 0.516% | 0.772% | 1.005% | 1.179% | 1.274% | 1.29% | 1.236% | - |
| 6 | - | - | - | - | 0.681% | 0.887% | 1.04% | 1.125% | 1.138% | 1.09% | - |
| 7 | - | - | - | - | 0.554% | 0.721% | 0.846% | 0.915% | 0.926% | 0.887% | - |
| 8 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.549% | 0.644% | 0.696% | 0.705% | 0.675% | - |
| 9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.502% | 0.508% | - | - |
| 10+ | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
OVER 11.5 is the primary corner target from 14.81 expected total corners.
OVER 11.5